The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Frelick, Sal in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 349 PA
Ranked comps for Frelick, Sal
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 519 PA | 0.77 | Oppo rateBarrel ratePull rate | In-zone contact -1.0zWhiff rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerPull rateSwing length | Bat speed +1.3zWhiff rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Fermín, José STL · R · 327 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedBarrel rateWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 317 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 502 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -2.3zIsolated power +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA | 0.56 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateChase rate | Whiff rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA | 0.55 | Swing lengthBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +2.0zWhiff rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 391 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateSprint speedPull rate | Chase rate +2.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.7zChase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 518 PA | 0.53 | In-zone contactOppo rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.52 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 474 PA | 0.52 | Walk rateOppo rateGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.5zxwOBA on contact +1.4zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.