The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 423 PA
Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 590 PA | 0.84 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | In-zone contact -0.9zSprint speed +0.8zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 615 PA | 0.70 | Strikeout rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Barrel rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.67 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Isolated power -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Seager, Corey TEX · L · 344 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.8zIsolated power -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA | 0.65 | Chase rateWalk rateSprint speed | Isolated power -1.3zSwing length +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBat speed | Swing length +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 360 PA | 0.62 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power -2.0zWalk rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 556 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthStrikeout ratePull rate | Hard-hit rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.5zPull rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 364 PA | 0.60 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Isolated power -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 367 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedChase rateOppo rate | Isolated power -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.