The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Miguel in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats R · 758 PA
Ranked comps for Vargas, Miguel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 553 PA | 0.70 | Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBat speed | Swing length -1.4zPull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 519 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA | 0.55 | Sprint speedChase rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.9zStrikeout rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA | 0.54 | Oppo rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4zIsolated power +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.52 | Pull rateHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Swing length -1.8zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 703 PA | 0.50 | Max exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed | Oppo rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.8zChase rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Soto, Juan NYM · L · 492 PA | 0.50 | Chase rateWhiff rateWalk rate | Sprint speed -2.3zSwing length -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerBat speedHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate +1.7zSwing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA | 0.48 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rateChase rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 603 PA | 0.47 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Swing length -2.0zWhiff rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA | 0.47 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityBat speed | Sprint speed -1.7zSwing length -1.4zOppo rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.