The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 615 PA
Ranked comps for Olson, Matt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA | 0.70 | Strikeout rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Barrel rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 584 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 590 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | In-zone contact -1.5zBarrel rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedOppo rateChase rate | Max exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Isolated power -1.8zBarrel rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactPull rateOppo rate | Isolated power -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA | 0.58 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Walk rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.56 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Whiff rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.2zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 600 PA | 0.52 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +2.1zIsolated power -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA | 0.50 | In-zone contactBat speedSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 502 PA | 0.50 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.8zPull rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 491 PA | 0.49 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Pull rate +2.0zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.