The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

ATL · bats L · 747 PA

Ranked comps for Olson, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 641 PA 0.77 Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate In-zone contact -1.6zBat speed -0.8zWhiff rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 449 PA 0.76 Isolated powerHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Barrel rate -1.0zWhiff rate +1.0zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.63 Isolated powerBat speedIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.7zxwOBA on contact +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA 0.61 Sprint speedBat speedWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.59 Oppo rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.9zSwing length -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.58 Chase rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.58 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate Sweet-spot rate +2.1zIsolated power -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.3zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.54 Pull rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact xwOBA on contact -1.5zHard-hit rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA 0.54 Walk rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA 0.54 Max exit velocitySwing lengthWhiff rate Pull rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.