The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (206+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint

No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.

Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 429 PA

Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.43 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4z
02 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.42 Bat speedIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.5z
03 Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA 0.40 xwOBA on contactBat speedChase rate Oppo rate +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.9zPull rate -1.8z
04 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.38 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateOppo rate xwOBA on contact -2.0zWalk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.4z
05 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA 0.38 Barrel rateWhiff rateBat speed Chase rate +2.3zWalk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7z
06 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.38 Whiff rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.7z
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.37 Barrel rateIsolated powerChase rate Ground-ball rate +2.1zIn-zone contact +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.7z
08 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 393 PA 0.36 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate xwOBA on contact -2.0zIsolated power -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.3z
09 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA 0.35 Max exit velocityWalk rateOppo rate Strikeout rate -2.4zxwOBA on contact -2.3zAvg exit velocity -1.6z
10 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA 0.34 Bat speedMax exit velocityBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.6z
11 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.33 Walk rateBat speedHard-hit rate Oppo rate +2.5zGround-ball rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.6z
12 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.32 Pull rateChase rateMax exit velocity xwOBA on contact -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.7z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.