The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (294+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 612 PA
Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 442 PA | 0.48 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.7zWalk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 604 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSprint speed +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 500 PA | 0.46 | Chase rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Bat speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 417 PA | 0.44 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 594 PA | 0.44 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Walk rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.6zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 526 PA | 0.42 | Bat speedFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +2.2zGround-ball rate +1.7zPull rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 564 PA | 0.42 | In-zone contactWhiff rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.41 | Bat speedWhiff rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 639 PA | 0.39 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerSwing length | Sprint speed +3.0zChase rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 582 PA | 0.39 | Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 475 PA | 0.37 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | xwOBA on contact -2.1zStrikeout rate -2.0zAvg exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.