The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (206+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA | 0.43 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA | 0.42 | Bat speedIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA | 0.40 | xwOBA on contactBat speedChase rate | Oppo rate +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.9zPull rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.38 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateOppo rate | xwOBA on contact -2.0zWalk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.38 | Barrel rateWhiff rateBat speed | Chase rate +2.3zWalk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.38 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA | 0.37 | Barrel rateIsolated powerChase rate | Ground-ball rate +2.1zIn-zone contact +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 393 PA | 0.36 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate | xwOBA on contact -2.0zIsolated power -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA | 0.35 | Max exit velocityWalk rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate -2.4zxwOBA on contact -2.3zAvg exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.34 | Bat speedMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.33 | Walk rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Oppo rate +2.5zGround-ball rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA | 0.32 | Pull rateChase rateMax exit velocity | xwOBA on contact -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.