The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (294+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats L · 604 PA
Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 526 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateOppo rateWhiff rate | Avg exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA | 0.58 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 360 PA | 0.55 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | Strikeout rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.2zBat speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 607 PA | 0.53 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed | Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 564 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Pull rate -2.3zSwing length -1.7zOppo rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA | 0.50 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.8zSwing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.49 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 634 PA | 0.49 | Bat speedStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate -2.1zSprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 417 PA | 0.49 | Fly-ball ratePull rateIsolated power | Max exit velocity -2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 454 PA | 0.49 | Bat speedIsolated powerOppo rate | Walk rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 612 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.