The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Yordan in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Alvarez, Yordan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.45 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA | 0.41 | Swing lengthHard-hit rateBat speed | Whiff rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Soto, Juan NYM · L · 492 PA | 0.34 | Barrel rateSprint speedWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zBat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA | 0.32 | Swing lengthIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Max exit velocity -2.6zBat speed -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 662 PA | 0.31 | Sweet-spot rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -2.7zWhiff rate +2.1zGround-ball rate +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.28 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Isolated power -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.9zIn-zone contact -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 758 PA | 0.28 | Walk rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.4zMax exit velocity -2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA | 0.27 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateOppo rate | Max exit velocity -2.2zIn-zone contact -1.8zIsolated power -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 747 PA | 0.27 | Sprint speedOppo rateChase rate | Max exit velocity -2.5zWalk rate -2.3zSweet-spot rate -2.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA | 0.27 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Sprint speed +2.4zIsolated power -2.0zAvg exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 725 PA | 0.26 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerSprint speed | In-zone contact -2.6zPull rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +2.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA | 0.26 | Oppo rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Walk rate -2.5zSprint speed +2.3zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.