The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats L · 492 PA

Ranked comps for Soto, Juan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 519 PA 0.52 Oppo ratePull rateChase rate Barrel rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5zIsolated power -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 758 PA 0.50 Chase rateWhiff rateWalk rate Sprint speed +2.3zSwing length +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.49 Isolated powerMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.48 Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 603 PA 0.48 Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Strikeout rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.47 Bat speedGround-ball rateSwing length Avg exit velocity -1.6zWalk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.47 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +2.3zBarrel rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA 0.47 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.9zStrikeout rate +1.8zSwing length +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.44 Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length Strikeout rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA 0.43 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityWalk rate Strikeout rate +2.3zOppo rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.42 In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed Strikeout rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.8zBarrel rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 747 PA 0.41 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Walk rate -2.6zStrikeout rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.