The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (294+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats L · 386 PA

Ranked comps for Soto, Juan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 631 PA 0.52 Fly-ball rateChase ratePull rate Sprint speed +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.8zSwing length +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 500 PA 0.51 Bat speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.9zPull rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 526 PA 0.50 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityIsolated power Strikeout rate +1.9zBat speed +1.5zOppo rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 325 PA 0.49 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Walk rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 502 PA 0.47 Chase rateGround-ball rateOppo rate xwOBA on contact -1.6zBarrel rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA 0.46 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.8zSwing length +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.45 Isolated powerSwing lengthBat speed Walk rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 402 PA 0.44 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactSprint speed Strikeout rate +2.1zIsolated power -1.5zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 628 PA 0.43 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -2.6zStrikeout rate +1.9zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 607 PA 0.42 xwOBA on contactWalk rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +2.1zFly-ball rate -1.7zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 634 PA 0.42 Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Walk rate -2.0zStrikeout rate +1.7zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 475 PA 0.41 Max exit velocitySwing lengthOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +2.0zAvg exit velocity -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.