Mithrandir Metrics
SD National League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Diego Padres

83.6-78.4 with P10-P90 wins 74-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.6-78.4
Live pace
89.4
Delta
+5.8
Record 32-26 Run diff -6 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason84.0
Current pace89.4
Rolling p5086.6
Observed weight49%
Rolling wins
75.6 80.8 86.6 92.5 97.7
MOVE +2.6 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.28
October path

Projection odds

Division15.0%
Playoffs44.1%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.34
Bullpen FIP4.28
Run diff25.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CFermin, Freddy428-0.81
1BSheets, Gavin5380.48
2BMcCoy, Mason224-1.64
SSBogaerts, Xander542-0.33
3BMachado, Manny6215.19
LFLaureano, Ramón4861.26
CFMerrill, Jackson5198.45
RFTatis Jr.., Fernando6089.36
DHCastellanos, Nick5830.09