Mithrandir Metrics
SD National League West Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Diego Padres

83.6-78.4 with P10-P90 wins 74-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.6-78.4
Live pace
85.1
Delta
+1.5
Record 72-65 Run diff 10 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason84.0
Current pace85.1
Rolling p5084.8
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
75.4 79.8 84.8 89.7 94.2
MOVE +0.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.28
October path

Projection odds

Division15.0%
Playoffs44.1%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.34
Bullpen FIP4.28
Run diff25.4
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CCampusano, Luis---0.59
1BFrance, Ty--0.30
2BCronenworth, Jake--1.54
SSSong, Sung-Mun----
3BMachado, Manny--5.19
LFHarris, Dustin----
CFMerrill, Jackson--8.45
RFTatis Jr., Fernando--9.36
DHBogaerts, Xander---0.33
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Sheets, GavinHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Rengifo, LuisHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Laureano, RamónHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pivetta, NickPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Musgrove, JoePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Adam, JasonPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Estrada, JeremiahPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Hoeing, BryanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Wagner, WillHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Brito, JhonyPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Hawkins, GarrettPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Stratton, HunterPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors