Mithrandir Metrics
SD National League West Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Diego Padres

83.6-78.4 with P10-P90 wins 74-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.6-78.4
Live pace
91.0
Delta
+7.4
Record 91-71 Run diff 41 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason84.0
Current pace91.0
Rolling p5089.1
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
79.8 84.2 89.1 94.0 98.4
MOVE +5.1 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.28
October path

Projection odds

Division15.0%
Playoffs44.1%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.34
Bullpen FIP4.28
Run diff25.4
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-07.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CCampusano, Luis---0.59
1BFrance, Ty--0.30
2BCronenworth, Jake--1.54
SSBogaerts, Xander---0.33
3BMachado, Manny--5.19
LFTaylor, Samad----
CFMerrill, Jackson--8.45
RFTatis Jr., Fernando--9.36
DHHays, Austin----
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Rengifo, LuisHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Laureano, RamónHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hoeing, BryanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day