Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-21 · saved artifact ROWS 41 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs SF	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.298count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
02	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.214count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
03	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+83.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.759count	83.5%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
04	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs TOR	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+81.64%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	81.6%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
05	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+88.10%	1+ Hitline	0.646count	88.1%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
06	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs NYY	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+80.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.837count	80.5%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
07	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs SF	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+84.54%	1+ Hitline	0.73count	84.5%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
08	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+72.89%	2+ Hitsline	1.022count	72.9%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
09	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+77.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.914count	77.4%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
10	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs TB	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.77%	1+ Hitline	0.751count	83.8%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
11	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs SD	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.2%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+75.25%	2+ Hitsline	0.966count	75.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
12	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs TOR	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.886count	78.5%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
13	Andy PagesLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+82.68%	1+ Hitline	0.78count	82.7%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
14	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.802count	81.8%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Max MuncyLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+86.61%	1+ Hitline	0.672count	86.6%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
16	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+77.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.902count	77.9%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
17	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs TB	P 12.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.1%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+87.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.675count	87.1%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
18	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs TOR	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+86.08%	1+ Hitline	0.687count	86.1%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
19	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs SF	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+68.57%	2+ Hitsline	1.123count	68.6%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
20	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs TB	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+83.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.767count	83.2%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
21	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs SD	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.1%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+72.89%	1+ Hitline	1.022count	27.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
22	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.7%selected	4.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs SF	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+78.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Tyler O'NeillBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+82.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	82.8%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
25	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.946count	75.9%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
26	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+84.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	84.4%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
27	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.79%	2+ Hitsline	1.023count	72.8%selected	5.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
28	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+73.63%	2+ Hitsline	1.005count	73.6%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
29	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.886count	78.5%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
30	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs SD	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.41%	2+ Hitsline	1.034count	72.4%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
31	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 32.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.2%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+67.84%	1+ Hitline	1.142count	32.2%selected	4.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
32	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.929count	76.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
33	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs TB	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+76.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.925count	77.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
34	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs SD	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.2%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+69.82%	1+ Hitline	1.095count	30.2%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
35	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs TOR	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.2%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+69.81%	1+ Hitline	1.094count	30.2%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs SD	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.92%	2+ Hitsline	1.045count	71.9%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
37	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs SF	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+85.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.725count	85.3%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
38	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs SF	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+77.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.911count	77.5%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
39	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.3%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+77.69%	1+ Hitline	0.902count	22.3%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
40	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs TB	P 29.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.20%	2+ Hitsline	1.085count	70.2%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
41	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	26.6%Over prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	+73.42%	2+ Hitsline	1.008count	26.6%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books