Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-28 · saved artifact ROWS 52 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.235count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
02	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.302count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
03	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs MIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.29count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
04	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+82.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.794count	82.7%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
05	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.8%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+88.79%	1+ Hitline	0.625count	88.8%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
06	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs BAL	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+85.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.719count	85.5%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
07	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs KC	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+84.37%	2+ Hitsline	0.735count	84.4%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
08	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs KC	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+85.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.725count	85.3%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CHC	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+85.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.71count	85.8%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs KC	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+78.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.875count	79.0%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
11	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs BAL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.785count	82.5%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
12	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs AZ	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+79.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
13	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs MIN	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+85.20%	1+ Hitline	0.712count	85.2%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
14	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs WSH	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+84.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.739count	84.8%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
15	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs KC	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+83.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.749count	83.9%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
16	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs WSH	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+81.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.822count	81.1%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
17	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CHC	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+84.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.756count	84.2%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
18	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 28.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.2%Under prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+71.16%	2+ Hitsline	1.063count	71.2%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
19	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+85.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.724count	85.4%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
20	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+87.48%	1+ Hitline	0.647count	87.5%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
21	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+75.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.9%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
22	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.966count	75.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
23	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.824count	80.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs BAL	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+83.37%	1+ Hitline	0.762count	83.4%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
25	Colt KeithDET	DET vs BAL	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.852count	79.9%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
26	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.0%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+78.03%	1+ Hitline	0.898count	22.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
27	James WoodWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.927count	76.8%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
28	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs KC	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.891count	78.3%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
29	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.916count	77.3%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
30	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs WSH	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+80.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.84count	80.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
31	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
32	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.67%	2+ Hitsline	1.004count	73.7%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
33	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs BAL	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+75.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.968count	75.2%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
34	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs MIN	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+85.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.707count	86.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
35	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+80.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.831count	80.7%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
36	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CHC	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.92%	2+ Hitsline	1.022count	72.9%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
37	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.851count	79.9%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
38	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs MIN	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+78.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
39	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs MIN	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
40	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.991count	74.2%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
41	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs WSH	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.012count	73.3%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
42	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.01%	2+ Hitsline	1.043count	72.0%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
43	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 33.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.2%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+66.18%	2+ Hitsline	1.181count	66.2%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
44	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs BAL	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+79.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	79.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
45	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 28.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	71.4%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+71.36%	1+ Hitline	1.057count	71.4%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
46	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.2%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+77.75%	1+ Hitline	0.905count	22.2%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
47	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+73.13%	1+ Hitline	1.016count	73.1%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
48	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs WSH	P 34.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	65.7%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+65.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.188count	65.7%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
49	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	18.6%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+81.41%	1+ Hitline	0.813count	18.6%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
50	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 31.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.0%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+68.98%	1+ Hitline	1.115count	31.0%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
51	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.6%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+76.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.929count	76.6%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
52	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs KC	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	23.3%Over prob · Palantir	22.7%no-vig	+76.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.932count	23.3%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books