The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caissie, Owen in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats L · 342 PA

Ranked comps for Caissie, Owen

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 721 PA 0.56 Swing lengthOppo rateIsolated power Pull rate +1.6zBat speed -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.56 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.7zSwing length +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.55 Oppo rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.6zPull rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA 0.52 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -2.1zWhiff rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.51 Swing lengthWhiff rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.2zPull rate +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.50 Avg exit velocityPull rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 543 PA 0.49 Max exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.5zSwing length +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA 0.49 Barrel rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.6zSwing length +1.6zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA 0.47 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.6zOppo rate +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 361 PA 0.46 Sprint speedPull rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA 0.46 Ground-ball rateSprint speedWalk rate Strikeout rate -2.3zMax exit velocity +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.