The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.
LAA · bats L · 301 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Josh
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 464 PA | 0.78 | Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.3zChase rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 311 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Chase rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 411 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedWhiff rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 607 PA | 0.64 | Max exit velocityChase rateSprint speed | In-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateOppo rateBat speed | In-zone contact +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA | 0.60 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | In-zone contact +1.8zPull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Swing length +1.9zPull rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 348 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthSprint speedIsolated power | Walk rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 342 PA | 0.57 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.