The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

LAA · bats L · 361 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 526 PA 0.69 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocitySprint speed In-zone contact +2.0zChase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.64 Oppo rateStrikeout rateSprint speed In-zone contact +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.3zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 395 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.6zChase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 539 PA 0.59 Bat speedWhiff rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.58 Walk ratePull ratexwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 518 PA 0.58 Pull rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate In-zone contact +2.1zChase rate -1.6zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.58 Sprint speedIsolated powerBat speed In-zone contact +1.8zPull rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 403 PA 0.57 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.56 Walk rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.5zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 721 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityChase rate In-zone contact +1.9zPull rate +1.7zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.55 Sprint speedStrikeout rateSwing length Walk rate +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityBat speed Swing length +2.0zIn-zone contact +1.9zPull rate +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.