The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hernández, Teoscar in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats R · 543 PA

Ranked comps for Hernández, Teoscar

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.77 Barrel rateHard-hit rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0zPull rate +1.0z
02 House, Brady WSH · R · 371 PA 0.76 Avg exit velocityWalk rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.75 Max exit velocityChase rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.8z
04 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0zIsolated power -0.8z
05 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityChase rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z
06 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA 0.72 Oppo rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Bat speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate -0.9zIn-zone contact +0.8z
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Walk rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z
08 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 624 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactOppo rateFly-ball rate In-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.2zSwing length -1.0z
09 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
10 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
11 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z
12 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA 0.61 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityOppo rate Swing length -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.