The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hernández, Teoscar in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats R · 543 PA
Ranked comps for Hernández, Teoscar
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.77 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Ground-ball rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | House, Brady WSH · R · 371 PA | 0.76 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.75 | Max exit velocityChase rateSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocityChase rateBat speed | Sprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA | 0.72 | Oppo rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Bat speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate -0.9zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA | 0.71 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateHard-hit rate | Walk rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 624 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.2zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed | Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA | 0.62 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Swing length -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.