The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (296+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Moniak, Mickey in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 400 PA
Ranked comps for Moniak, Mickey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 599 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateWhiff rateIsolated power | Oppo rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Chase rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.6zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 520 PA | 0.52 | Isolated powerPull rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.7zSwing length -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Buxton, Byron MIN · R · 418 PA | 0.51 | In-zone contactGround-ball rateBat speed | Barrel rate +2.0zChase rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 624 PA | 0.49 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 457 PA | 0.49 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityBat speed | Chase rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 598 PA | 0.46 | Pull rateGround-ball rateIsolated power | Swing length -1.8zChase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 608 PA | 0.45 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zOppo rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.45 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity +1.8zIsolated power -1.6zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 398 PA | 0.44 | Hard-hit rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate -2.6zGround-ball rate +1.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 599 PA | 0.43 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.7zxwOBA on contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Massey, Michael KC · L · 377 PA | 0.42 | Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.7zIsolated power -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.