The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats L · 235 PA

Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 451 PA 0.84 Strikeout rateChase rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -0.8zPull rate -0.7zIn-zone contact -0.7z
02 Greene, Riley DET · L · 431 PA 0.84 xwOBA on contactPull rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +0.8zWhiff rate +0.7zIn-zone contact -0.7z
03 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 425 PA 0.71 Oppo rateMax exit velocitySwing length Chase rate +1.2zWhiff rate +0.9zHard-hit rate -0.9z
04 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 445 PA 0.70 Chase ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Isolated power +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zBarrel rate +0.8z
05 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 315 PA 0.70 Swing lengthBarrel rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact -1.1zBat speed -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z
06 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 375 PA 0.69 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Oppo rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.3zChase rate -0.9z
07 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 368 PA 0.67 Bat speedMax exit velocityBarrel rate xwOBA on contact -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.0z
08 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 358 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.8zSwing length -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0z
09 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 248 PA 0.64 Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z
10 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 243 PA 0.64 Chase rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z
11 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 352 PA 0.63 Pull rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Hard-hit rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
12 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5zHard-hit rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.