The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 261 qualified hitters (223+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 479 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 345 PA 0.77 Max exit velocityBat speedFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 248 PA 0.74 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.6zChase rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 266 PA 0.71 Sprint speedIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate +1.5zPull rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 428 PA 0.70 Isolated powerPull rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 359 PA 0.67 Barrel rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 314 PA 0.67 Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.9zBarrel rate +1.0zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 430 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateSwing lengthBat speed Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 346 PA 0.66 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.1zSwing length +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 244 PA 0.63 In-zone contactIsolated powerMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Loftin, Nick KC · R · 257 PA 0.63 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Sprint speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 284 PA 0.63 Ground-ball ratePull rateBarrel rate Strikeout rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 371 PA 0.62 Oppo rateSprint speedWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.