The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Busch, Michael in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 626 PA
Ranked comps for Busch, Michael
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA | 0.74 | Chase rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity -0.8zBat speed +0.8zStrikeout rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA | 0.74 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 443 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateChase rate | Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.2zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 593 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateIsolated power | Whiff rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthPull rateChase rate | Sprint speed +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.3zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate | Bat speed +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA | 0.59 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.5zBat speed +1.4zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 416 PA | 0.59 | In-zone contactIsolated powerBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.6zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.