The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caissie, Owen in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 315 PA
Ranked comps for Caissie, Owen
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Raley, Luke SEA · L · 309 PA | 0.60 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Pull rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.55 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zStrikeout rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 543 PA | 0.47 | Isolated powerBarrel rateOppo rate | Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.4zPull rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.47 | Barrel rateSwing lengthWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.7zPull rate +2.1zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 411 PA | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Oppo rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 607 PA | 0.45 | Swing lengthIsolated powerBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.3zPull rate +1.4zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA | 0.45 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.8zSwing length +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.45 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zStrikeout rate -2.1zWhiff rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.45 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -3.3zSwing length +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 425 PA | 0.43 | Whiff rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -2.9zPull rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 443 PA | 0.41 | Ground-ball ratePull rateSprint speed | Strikeout rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.40 | xwOBA on contactBat speedBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.6zStrikeout rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.