The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 390 PA

Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 385 PA 0.78 Bat speedIn-zone contactWhiff rate Isolated power +1.0zWalk rate +0.9zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 424 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityPull rateSprint speed Walk rate +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 386 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 436 PA 0.58 Whiff rateOppo rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 432 PA 0.57 Whiff rateSwing lengthOppo rate xwOBA on contact -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 420 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityBat speedChase rate Walk rate +1.7zPull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityOppo rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 406 PA 0.53 Sprint speedBarrel ratePull rate Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zSwing length -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 301 PA 0.50 Oppo rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +2.2zSweet-spot rate -2.2zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 354 PA 0.49 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateBat speed Pull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 403 PA 0.49 xwOBA on contactOppo rateHard-hit rate Max exit velocity +1.7zWalk rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 422 PA 0.46 Walk rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.