The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 342 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 295 PA 0.77 Chase rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Swing length +1.2zWalk rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +0.9z
02 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 399 PA 0.76 Pull rateSprint speedWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.5zBat speed -0.8zxwOBA on contact -0.6z
03 Church, Nathan STL · L · 274 PA 0.73 Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.1zBat speed -1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z
04 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 274 PA 0.72 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Chase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9zSwing length +0.9z
05 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 415 PA 0.71 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateWalk rate Swing length +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +1.0z
06 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 440 PA 0.70 Ground-ball rateBat speedStrikeout rate Swing length +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z
07 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 305 PA 0.70 Sprint speedOppo rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity -1.3zChase rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z
08 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA 0.68 Swing lengthBarrel rateHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.9zBat speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.8z
09 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 222 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact Oppo rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z
10 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 427 PA 0.67 Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact Strikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -0.8z
11 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 227 PA 0.66 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zxwOBA on contact +0.9z
12 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 261 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate Swing length +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zBat speed +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.