The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vierling, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats R · 310 PA
Ranked comps for Vierling, Matt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA | 0.78 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Isolated power +0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.9zHard-hit rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 376 PA | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 439 PA | 0.72 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Bat speed -1.1zPull rate +1.0zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 486 PA | 0.71 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.3zSprint speed -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 332 PA | 0.65 | Oppo rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 542 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 551 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Sprint speed -1.2zOppo rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 620 PA | 0.63 | Walk rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Whiff rate +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 408 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Pull rate +1.9zGround-ball rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA | 0.62 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.5zWalk rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.61 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.8zSwing length -1.3zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.