The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rutschman, Adley in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 358 PA
Ranked comps for Rutschman, Adley
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 409 PA | 0.79 | Bat speedMax exit velocityIsolated power | Fly-ball rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +0.9zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 593 PA | 0.76 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerPull rate | In-zone contact -1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.74 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateSwing length | Whiff rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 401 PA | 0.71 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA | 0.70 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.3zSprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 631 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zPull rate +1.5zIsolated power +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 444 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthPull rateSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 467 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Oppo rate +2.4zFly-ball rate -0.8zChase rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 602 PA | 0.68 | Walk rateBat speedSwing length | Strikeout rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityBat speedOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.