The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 342 PA
Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 295 PA | 0.77 | Chase rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Swing length +1.2zWalk rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 399 PA | 0.76 | Pull rateSprint speedWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.5zBat speed -0.8zxwOBA on contact -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 274 PA | 0.73 | Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate +1.1zBat speed -1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 274 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Chase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 415 PA | 0.71 | Sprint speedSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 440 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Swing length +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 305 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedOppo rateWhiff rate | Avg exit velocity -1.3zChase rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate -1.9zBat speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 222 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 427 PA | 0.67 | Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 227 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 261 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.