The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ward, Taylor in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats R · 584 PA

Ranked comps for Ward, Taylor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA 0.59 Isolated powerIn-zone contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 464 PA 0.58 Ground-ball rateSprint speedBarrel rate Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 381 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 531 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateBat speedWhiff rate Pull rate +1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 618 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactSwing length Fly-ball rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Myers, Dane CIN · R · 292 PA 0.52 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.8zChase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.52 In-zone contactAvg exit velocitySwing length Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.6zIsolated power +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 587 PA 0.50 Avg exit velocityPull rateSweet-spot rate Isolated power +1.8zChase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA 0.50 Strikeout rateIsolated powerPull rate Walk rate -2.4zChase rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.49 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Pull rate +2.0zChase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.48 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.6zIsolated power +1.5zWalk rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 626 PA 0.48 Bat speedHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.