The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Edwards, Xavier in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats L · 586 PA

Ranked comps for Edwards, Xavier

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA 0.70 Hard-hit rateBat speedFly-ball rate Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +0.9zChase rate -0.9z
02 Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 474 PA 0.65 Max exit velocitySprint speedSweet-spot rate Oppo rate -2.0zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate +0.8z
03 Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 532 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.5z
05 Myers, Dane CIN · R · 292 PA 0.58 Ground-ball rateChase rateBarrel rate Strikeout rate +1.8zSwing length +1.6zHard-hit rate +1.1z
06 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA 0.57 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5z
07 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA 0.57 Barrel rateMax exit velocityPull rate Swing length +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.3zBat speed +1.3z
08 Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 606 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerSprint speed Swing length +2.1zWalk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.4z
09 McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 392 PA 0.54 Isolated powerBat speedAvg exit velocity Oppo rate -2.3zPull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.0z
10 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 572 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4z
11 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactBat speedOppo rate Walk rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate +1.0z
12 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 317 PA 0.52 Whiff rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Swing length +2.5zAvg exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.