The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 420 PA

Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 632 PA 0.71 Chase rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Walk rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0z
02 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 618 PA 0.71 Fly-ball rateBat speedIsolated power Avg exit velocity -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z
03 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 596 PA 0.71 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.5zPull rate +0.9zSwing length +0.8z
04 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z
05 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 448 PA 0.65 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9z
06 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 470 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate -1.3z
07 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityFly-ball rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zChase rate -1.1z
08 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 489 PA 0.64 Isolated powerSwing lengthSprint speed Chase rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +0.9zBat speed +0.7z
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.63 Swing lengthStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zPull rate -1.0z
10 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA 0.63 Walk rateWhiff rateBat speed Oppo rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.0zPull rate -1.0z
11 Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 346 PA 0.63 Isolated powerPull rateHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.1z
12 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 695 PA 0.62 Whiff rateBarrel ratePull rate Swing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.