The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 344 PA

Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 523 PA 0.68 Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.8z
02 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 519 PA 0.68 Bat speedHard-hit rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -0.9zSprint speed +0.9z
03 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 317 PA 0.66 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate In-zone contact +1.4zOppo rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity -0.9z
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateBarrel rate Pull rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate +1.0z
05 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA 0.65 Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate Fly-ball rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1z
06 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 572 PA 0.64 Pull rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zSwing length -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.0z
07 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 436 PA 0.62 Pull rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z
08 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerBat speed In-zone contact +1.4zOppo rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
09 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 486 PA 0.62 Bat speedxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.3z
10 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zChase rate -1.0z
11 Loftin, Nick KC · R · 374 PA 0.61 Barrel rateHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Fly-ball rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zChase rate -1.0z
12 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate -2.3zSwing length -1.5zGround-ball rate +0.9z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.