The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Guerrero Jr., Vladimir in signal, the comp in amber.
TOR · bats R · 531 PA
Ranked comps for Guerrero Jr., Vladimir
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.5zBat speed -1.2zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Díaz, Yandy TB · R · 613 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthSprint speed | Pull rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.2zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 562 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 315 PA | 0.51 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Bat speed -2.1zMax exit velocity -1.7zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 365 PA | 0.48 | Walk rateWhiff rateChase rate | Sprint speed +2.1zMax exit velocity -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 500 PA | 0.45 | Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate | Bat speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 535 PA | 0.45 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity -1.8zBat speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA | 0.44 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity -2.1zBat speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.44 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateSprint speed | Isolated power +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.9zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 610 PA | 0.43 | Walk rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.0zxwOBA on contact +1.6zBarrel rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 597 PA | 0.42 | Whiff rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Swing length -2.0zBat speed -1.8zSprint speed +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.