The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Guerrero Jr., Vladimir in signal, the comp in amber.
TOR · bats R · 620 PA
Ranked comps for Guerrero Jr., Vladimir
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Díaz, Yandy TB · R · 738 PA | 0.67 | Swing lengthBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactSwing lengthGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.53 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedOppo rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zPull rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 363 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactWhiff rateAvg exit velocity | Bat speed -2.1zMax exit velocity -1.7zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 453 PA | 0.49 | Oppo rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Sprint speed +2.0zMax exit velocity -1.5zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 669 PA | 0.45 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.5zChase rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA | 0.45 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Pull rate +1.8zBat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 703 PA | 0.45 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Swing length -2.1zBat speed -1.8zSprint speed +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 354 PA | 0.43 | Oppo rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity -2.1zBat speed -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 614 PA | 0.43 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed -1.8zIsolated power +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 666 PA | 0.42 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity -2.5zBat speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.