The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jeffers, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 311 PA

Ranked comps for Jeffers, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Contreras, William MIL · R · 559 PA 0.71 Swing lengthBat speedOppo rate Walk rate -1.3zIsolated power -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.70 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateBat speedSwing length Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.66 Chase ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 500 PA 0.65 Oppo rateSwing lengthSprint speed Fly-ball rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.2zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.65 Chase rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 462 PA 0.65 In-zone contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate Oppo rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.65 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityChase rate Pull rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.65 Pull rateMax exit velocityChase rate Walk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.65 Isolated powerOppo rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.5zSwing length +1.2zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 383 PA 0.64 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Sprint speed +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 491 PA 0.62 Walk ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Oppo rate -1.8zChase rate -1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.