Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-05-23 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Alec Burleson
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINChris Paddack · slot 3 |
19.5%Valinor | 13.3%market | +8.5pp |
P
17.7
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
8.2pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 12.7%market | +8.2pp |
P
11.2
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
Lineup pending
|
BOS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 11.8%market | +8.1pp |
P
15.9
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
1.4pp | 1.004xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 11.7%market | +7.5pp |
P
13.6
F
17.9
V
13.4
|
4.3pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.9%market | +7.0pp |
P
16.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.2pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 11.1%market | +7.0pp |
P
4.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
8.6pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.0%market | +6.7pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.9pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 13.5%market | +6.7pp |
P
13.6
F
14.3
V
10.7
|
0.7pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 12.4%market | +6.4pp |
P
13.3
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.9pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Iván Herrera
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINChris Paddack · slot 2 |
19.5%Valinor | 12.5%market | +6.3pp |
P
19.3
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.7pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.2%market | +5.7pp |
P
11.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
1.5pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 630 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
19.5%Valinor | 14.8%market | +5.6pp |
P
15.9
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
10.0pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6 |
8.3%Valinor | 12.8%market | +5.5pp |
P
10.1
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
0.9pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 14 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 9.3%market | +5.5pp |
P
10.5
F
17.9
V
13.4
|
7.4pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Edouard Julien
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZZac Gallen · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 10.9%market | +5.4pp |
P
3.9
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
9.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 13.7%market | +5.3pp |
P
11.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.2pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.5%market | +5.3pp |
P
16.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.9pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 9.8%market | +5.2pp |
P
5.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
8.4pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1 |
10.2%Valinor | 9.8%market | +5.0pp |
P
5.5
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
8.1pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 12.3%market | +5.0pp |
P
8.5
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
7.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 6 |
11.8%Valinor | 11.0%market | +5.0pp |
P
12.0
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
3.7pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 22 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.5%market | +4.9pp |
P
9.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
4.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZZac Gallen · slot 4 |
8.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | +4.8pp |
P
7.2
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
4.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 24 | Lineup pending | CWS vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 13.0%market | +4.8pp |
P
12.8
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.4pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 10.7%market | +4.5pp |
P
6.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
7.2pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 26 | Lineup pending | SD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 15.5%market | +4.3pp |
P
11.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
1.5pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1 |
11.8%Valinor | 11.2%market | +4.3pp |
P
10.4
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
5.3pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Victor Scott II
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINChris Paddack · slot 1 |
0.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.3pp |
P
2.2
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
2.2pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 29 | Lineup pending | SD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.2%market | +4.2pp |
P
9.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.4pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Colt Keith
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
10.0%Valinor | 10.5%market | +4.1pp |
P
8.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
5.0pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 10.1%market | +4.0pp |
P
3.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
10.9pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Trea Turner
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.1%market | +3.4pp |
P
10.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.5pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
James Wood
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2 |
19.5%Valinor | 16.4%market | +3.0pp |
P
18.4
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
7.6pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6 |
12.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.0pp |
P
3.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
14.2pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.9%market | +2.9pp |
P
13.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
4.1pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 36 | Lineup pending | CLE vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6 |
3.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | +2.9pp |
P
8.1
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
3.4pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 37 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.5%market | +2.9pp |
P
18.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 450 avg 3 books |
| 38 | Lineup pending | BOS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
11.8%Valinor | 15.2%market | +2.8pp |
P
12.3
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
3.4pp | 1.004xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
10.0%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
7.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
5.5pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 7 |
8.3%Valinor | 8.5%market | +2.7pp |
P
3.8
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
7.2pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Austin Riley
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.2%market | +2.5pp |
P
10.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.7pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.0%market | +2.5pp |
P
15.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.5pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Matt Chapman
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 15.4%market | +2.1pp |
P
14.1
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.1pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 44 | Lineup pending | SD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.4%market | +2.1pp |
P
16.3
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.6pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 5 |
8.3%Valinor | 11.9%market | +2.1pp |
P
8.2
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
2.9pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 710 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 16.9%market | +2.0pp |
P
13.9
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.3pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Lane Thomas
KC
Lineup pending
|
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5 |
8.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | +1.9pp |
P
3.4
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
7.8pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 13.8%market | +1.9pp |
P
11.3
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
4.2pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.8pp |
P
9.6
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.8pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
Lineup pending
|
BOS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.5%market | +1.8pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.0pp | 1.004xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 2 |
8.3%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
4.3
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
6.8pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Matt Olson
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | +1.1pp |
P
15.7
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
1.5pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 370 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4 |
11.6%Valinor | 16.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
10.9
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
4.6pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.3%market | +0.9pp |
P
13.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.6pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 425 avg 3 books |
| 55 | Lineup pending | KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.9%market | +0.9pp |
P
13.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
0.5pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 56 | Lineup pending | KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.7%market | +0.8pp |
P
14.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
3.1pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 6 |
8.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.8pp |
P
1.8
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
9.2pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCColin Rea · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
10.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.7pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 59 | Lineup pending | SD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.0%market | +0.7pp |
P
12.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.6pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 435 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Willy Adames
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | +0.7pp |
P
14.2
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
0.1pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Luis Arraez
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
8.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.6pp |
P
1.9
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
9.2pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 12.3%market | +0.1pp |
P
9.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 16.7%market | -0.2pp |
P
13.2
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.0pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1 |
11.6%Valinor | 17.5%market | -0.3pp |
P
13.3
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
2.2pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Ben Rice
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.7%market | -0.5pp |
P
16.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.2pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 19.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
13.3
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.9pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.7%market | -0.5pp |
P
11.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.2pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 68 | Lineup pending | SF vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2 |
11.7%Valinor | 20.3%market | -0.7pp |
P
15.5
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
0.0pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Riley Greene
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.1%market | -0.8pp |
P
11.7
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.5pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 70 | Lineup pending | TOR vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
11.8%Valinor | 16.4%market | -0.9pp |
P
11.0
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
4.7pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Adolis García
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.4%market | -1.1pp |
P
9.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.6pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 72 | Lineup pending | DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 16.5%market | -1.1pp |
P
12.6
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
2.9pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 1 |
2.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
1.5
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
1.3pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.2pp |
P
9.9
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.3pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 20.5%market | -1.2pp |
P
15.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3 |
11.7%Valinor | 21.2%market | -1.2pp |
P
14.6
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
0.9pp | 1.141xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 77 | Lineup pending | KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.5%market | -1.2pp |
P
10.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.4pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
8.6%Valinor | 16.8%market | -1.3pp |
P
5.3
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
6.2pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 1 |
8.6%Valinor | 16.8%market | -1.3pp |
P
11.0
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
0.5pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 80 | Lineup pending | NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.6%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.3
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
0.9pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.6pp |
P
11.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.4pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 21.5%market | -2.1pp |
P
12.1
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.1pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
11.7%Valinor | 20.8%market | -2.1pp |
P
11.2
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
4.3pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Juan Soto
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
19.5%Valinor | 24.1%market | -2.1pp |
P
17.6
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
8.4pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 18.0%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
4.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
José Ramírez
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1 |
11.7%Valinor | 20.4%market | -2.2pp |
P
14.9
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
0.6pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.5%market | -2.3pp |
P
12.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
1.6pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 1 |
2.5%Valinor | 8.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
1.4
F
3.4
V
2.5
|
1.9pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 4 |
11.7%Valinor | 18.7%market | -2.5pp |
P
11.9
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
3.6pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 17.5%market | -2.8pp |
P
8.0
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
5.3pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 19.2%market | -2.8pp |
P
14.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
3.0pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 20.8%market | -3.1pp |
P
11.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.9pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
6.8%Valinor | 8.0%market | -3.4pp |
P
1.7
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
7.3pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 19.1%market | -4.3pp |
P
11.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.6pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
11.8%Valinor | 19.6%market | -4.4pp |
P
14.9
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
0.8pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 96 | Lineup pending | TB vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 22.7%market | -5.0pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.1pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 340 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 2 |
10.1%Valinor | 22.0%market | -5.1pp |
P
9.4
F
13.4
V
10.1
|
3.9pp | 0.774xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 98 | Lineup pending | CWS vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 3 |
8.4%Valinor | 23.3%market | -6.5pp |
P
9.1
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
2.1pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 2 |
10.1%Valinor | 23.8%market | -7.0pp |
P
11.5
F
13.4
V
10.1
|
1.9pp | 0.846xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 320 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 1 |
10.1%Valinor | 27.0%market | -7.7pp |
P
11.8
F
13.4
V
10.1
|
1.5pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
Lineup pending
|
PHI vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 3 |
11.9%Valinor | 27.0%market | -8.4pp |
P
14.0
F
15.7
V
11.9
|
1.7pp | 0.882xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 29.8%market | -10.6pp |
P
15.8
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
1.4pp | 0.990xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1536roster/transaction rows
Lineups9confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.