The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rice, Ben in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 593 PA
Ranked comps for Rice, Ben
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 494 PA | 0.69 | Chase rateStrikeout rateWalk rate | Swing length -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 623 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zPull rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 517 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 408 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zIn-zone contact -1.3zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 560 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedPull rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 603 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Walk rate +1.6zChase rate +1.2zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 519 PA | 0.59 | Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power -1.8zPull rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 598 PA | 0.59 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateOppo rate | Max exit velocity +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 623 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 393 PA | 0.58 | Chase rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity | Isolated power -1.7zPull rate -1.6zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 444 PA | 0.57 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 425 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.