The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

ATL · bats L · 619 PA

Ranked comps for Olson, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 424 PA 0.71 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratePull rate Barrel rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 595 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateStrikeout rate In-zone contact -1.6zBarrel rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 588 PA 0.68 Strikeout rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 621 PA 0.65 Bat speedChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 387 PA 0.61 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.8zBarrel rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.58 Pull ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate Isolated power -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 512 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.9zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.56 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateWalk rate Whiff rate +1.4zPull rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 605 PA 0.52 Whiff rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +2.1zIsolated power -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 506 PA 0.52 Whiff rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.8zPull rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 439 PA 0.51 Bat speedIn-zone contactWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.49 Bat speedOppo rateChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zBarrel rate -1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.