The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 584 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 556 PA 0.80 Barrel rateOppo rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.2zSwing length -1.0zSprint speed +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 552 PA 0.79 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate Walk rate -1.1zBat speed -0.8zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.76 Ground-ball ratePull rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.73 Oppo rateWalk rateBat speed In-zone contact +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.70 Walk rateBat speedHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.0zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA 0.68 Oppo rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate Swing length -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 287 PA 0.68 Whiff rateOppo rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.9zIsolated power -0.9zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.65 Pull rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.4zSwing length -1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Contreras, William MIL · R · 559 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityWalk ratePull rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA 0.65 Chase rateWalk rateSprint speed Isolated power +1.3zSwing length -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.