The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 713 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.80 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate Walk rate -1.2zSwing length -1.0zWhiff rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.78 Chase rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.9zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 475 PA 0.74 Isolated powerPull rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +0.9zSwing length -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 442 PA 0.73 Walk rateOppo rateBat speed In-zone contact +1.2zSprint speed +1.0zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Contreras, William MIL · R · 684 PA 0.72 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.0zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateWalk rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.68 Walk ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Swing length -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA 0.68 In-zone contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateChase rate Isolated power -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityWhiff rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.