The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Walker, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.
HOU · bats R · 657 PA
Ranked comps for Walker, Christian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.80 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Walk rate +1.2zSwing length +1.0zWhiff rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.80 | Sprint speedSweet-spot rateWhiff rate | Isolated power -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.9zHard-hit rate +0.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 371 PA | 0.74 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Isolated power -1.3zSwing length -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 403 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateWalk rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA | 0.73 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | Oppo rate -1.1zChase rate -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateIsolated power | Sprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedWalk rate | Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 442 PA | 0.70 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Whiff rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 380 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Isolated power -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.0zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Isolated power -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.