The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wetherholt, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 426 PA

Ranked comps for Wetherholt, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 214 PA 0.83 Max exit velocityWhiff rateIsolated power Chase rate +0.8zSwing length -0.8zSprint speed -0.8z
02 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.76 In-zone contactFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.3zPull rate +1.3zChase rate +0.6z
03 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 423 PA 0.75 Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2zPull rate +0.8z
04 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 404 PA 0.74 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Sprint speed -1.1zPull rate +1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z
05 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 294 PA 0.72 xwOBA on contactWalk rateBarrel rate Swing length -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0z
06 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 382 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0z
07 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.70 Pull rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.0zSwing length -0.9z
08 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 325 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.0zChase rate -1.0z
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 316 PA 0.66 Bat speedWalk rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z
10 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 311 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBat speed Hard-hit rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z
11 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 436 PA 0.64 Barrel rateHard-hit rateBat speed Chase rate +1.8zPull rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.0z
12 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 245 PA 0.63 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3zSwing length -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.