The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carrigg, Cole in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 380 PA
Ranked comps for Carrigg, Cole
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 493 PA | 0.78 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Whiff rate +1.0zWalk rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.77 | Strikeout rateChase rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +0.9zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedPull rateIsolated power | Swing length +1.8zFly-ball rate +0.8zGround-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.71 | Bat speedFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Pull rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.70 | Oppo ratePull rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactChase rateMax exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zSweet-spot rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.69 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Chase rate -1.7zBarrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityBat speed | Sprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 599 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate -1.4zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 680 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.7zOppo rate +1.5zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.5zPull rate -1.1zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.