The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.
BOS · bats L · 610 PA
Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 537 PA | 0.72 | Whiff rateMax exit velocitySprint speed | Chase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 519 PA | 0.69 | Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity +1.6zAvg exit velocity +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 535 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactSwing lengthHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 591 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 392 PA | 0.63 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 451 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactWalk rateOppo rate | Avg exit velocity -1.1zBat speed -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 319 PA | 0.62 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 602 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.8zIsolated power -1.4zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate | Walk rate -2.4zIn-zone contact +1.2zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 591 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 483 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityBat speed | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.