The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 332 PA

Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 404 PA 0.81 Max exit velocityPull rateSweet-spot rate Bat speed -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.8zHard-hit rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 446 PA 0.72 In-zone contactBarrel rateGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.69 Barrel rateOppo rateFly-ball rate In-zone contact -1.2zBat speed -1.0zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Carter, Evan TEX · L · 279 PA 0.69 Chase rateOppo rateBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.3zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA 0.65 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 439 PA 0.64 In-zone contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 404 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateWalk rate Swing length +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 316 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Swing length +1.8zIsolated power +1.4zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 271 PA 0.61 Whiff rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Pull rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 293 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateWhiff rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateWhiff ratePull rate Swing length +1.5zBat speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 214 PA 0.61 Oppo rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.