The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 625 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 401 PA 0.80 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.1zIsolated power -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.78 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zWhiff rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.70 Strikeout rateSwing lengthSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.7zPull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateIsolated power Max exit velocity +1.2zSwing length +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 549 PA 0.69 Swing lengthIn-zone contactBat speed Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 462 PA 0.68 Barrel rateBat speedWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 400 PA 0.67 Whiff rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 375 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityBarrel rateIn-zone contact Pull rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.4zChase rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 491 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateIsolated powerPull rate Max exit velocity +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityIsolated powerBat speed Chase rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Young, Cole SEA · L · 569 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.4zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.