The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 721 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 494 PA 0.76 Strikeout rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 673 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityChase rateMax exit velocity Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.72 In-zone contactPull rateSwing length xwOBA on contact +1.3zBarrel rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 590 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.4zIsolated power -1.1zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 519 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 655 PA 0.64 Bat speedIn-zone contactSwing length Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.7zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 433 PA 0.64 Oppo rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 580 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.6zPull rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 433 PA 0.63 Barrel rateSwing lengthHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.62 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity +1.2zWhiff rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Max exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate +1.2zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.