The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 442 PA
Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA | 0.80 | Pull rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Chase rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 220 PA | 0.76 | Hard-hit ratePull rateSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate +1.4zChase rate +1.3zBarrel rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.74 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerSprint speed | In-zone contact -1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.1zChase rate +1.0zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 327 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 314 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.7zBarrel rate +0.9zSprint speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 225 PA | 0.70 | Pull rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity +1.1zSwing length +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 397 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthIn-zone contactBat speed | Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 248 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactGround-ball rateSprint speed | Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.2zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 337 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Ground-ball rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Pull rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.