The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Muncy, Max in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats L · 498 PA
Ranked comps for Muncy, Max
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 590 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Chase rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 584 PA | 0.71 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA | 0.69 | Chase rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Swing length +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.2zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 413 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateChase rateIsolated power | Swing length +1.9zIn-zone contact -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 475 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.5zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 438 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Seager, Corey TEX · L · 357 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.7zIsolated power -1.2zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 564 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Swing length +2.4zWalk rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 542 PA | 0.57 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateWalk rate | Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.57 | Chase rateGround-ball rateSprint speed | Whiff rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 516 PA | 0.57 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.7zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 540 PA | 0.55 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.