The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Edwards, Xavier in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 586 PA
Ranked comps for Edwards, Xavier
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateBat speedFly-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +0.9zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 479 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocitySprint speedSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate -1.9zWalk rate -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 536 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 356 PA | 0.59 | Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.5zSwing length +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Myers, Dane CIN · R · 293 PA | 0.57 | Ground-ball rateChase rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zSwing length +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Swing length +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.3zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 610 PA | 0.56 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Swing length +2.1zChase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 577 PA | 0.54 | Avg exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 319 PA | 0.53 | Whiff rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Swing length +2.5zAvg exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 396 PA | 0.53 | Isolated powerBat speedAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -2.2zPull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactBat speedOppo rate | Walk rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.