The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burleson, Alec in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 595 PA

Ranked comps for Burleson, Alec

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA 0.75 In-zone contactFly-ball rateWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power +0.8zStrikeout rate +0.8z
02 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 360 PA 0.70 Pull rateWalk rateSwing length Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -0.7z
03 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 552 PA 0.67 Whiff rateFly-ball rateWalk rate Hard-hit rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
04 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA 0.65 Isolated powerGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate -2.3zOppo rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +0.7z
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA 0.63 Isolated powerIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Pull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1z
06 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.61 Sprint speedFly-ball rateWalk rate Chase rate -1.5zPull rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z
07 García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 489 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.5zIsolated power +1.5zWalk rate -1.3z
08 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 367 PA 0.58 Isolated powerMax exit velocitySwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4zChase rate -1.4z
09 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 529 PA 0.57 Barrel rateWhiff rateWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.2zHard-hit rate -0.9z
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA 0.57 Oppo rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +2.1zBarrel rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z
11 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.3z
12 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 364 PA 0.54 Sprint speedGround-ball rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +2.1zWhiff rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -0.9z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.