The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burleson, Alec in signal, the comp in amber.
STL · bats L · 595 PA
Ranked comps for Burleson, Alec
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA | 0.75 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateWalk rate | Max exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power +0.8zStrikeout rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 360 PA | 0.70 | Pull rateWalk rateSwing length | Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 552 PA | 0.67 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Hard-hit rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -2.3zOppo rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedFly-ball rateWalk rate | Chase rate -1.5zPull rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 489 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.5zIsolated power +1.5zWalk rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 367 PA | 0.58 | Isolated powerMax exit velocitySwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 529 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateWhiff rateWalk rate | Max exit velocity +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.2zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA | 0.57 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.1zBarrel rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA | 0.55 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Whiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 364 PA | 0.54 | Sprint speedGround-ball rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate +2.1zWhiff rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.