The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 526 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 474 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed +2.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityBat speedSweet-spot rate | Hard-hit rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate | Swing length +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 305 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.3zWalk rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA | 0.67 | Barrel rateBat speedPull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateSwing length | Pull rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.6zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactPull rate | In-zone contact -1.4zWalk rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.65 | Swing lengthIsolated powerHard-hit rate | Fly-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 595 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +2.3zOppo rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 287 PA | 0.64 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | xwOBA on contact -1.8zBat speed -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 575 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.7zBat speed -1.0zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | France, Ty SD · R · 426 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactStrikeout rateChase rate | Max exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.