The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 666 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.74 | Walk rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.3zBat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateBat speedOppo rate | Hard-hit rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 458 PA | 0.70 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA | 0.70 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Chase rate -1.0zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 475 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityWalk rateStrikeout rate | Barrel rate -1.3zChase rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Swing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 619 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 708 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityPull rate | Bat speed -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 684 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocitySprint speedPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | France, Ty SD · R · 548 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateChase rate | Bat speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.5zBarrel rate -1.0zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.