The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Marte, Ketel in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 635 PA
Ranked comps for Marte, Ketel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA | 0.63 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 581 PA | 0.61 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.60 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Walk rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity -1.8zStrikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 688 PA | 0.54 | Walk rateSwing lengthPull rate | Max exit velocity -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.4zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate +1.7zPull rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA | 0.54 | Sprint speedIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA | 0.52 | Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateWhiff rate | Pull rate -2.4zMax exit velocity -1.5zOppo rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSwing length | Max exit velocity -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 478 PA | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.