The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Marte, Ketel in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 533 PA
Ranked comps for Marte, Ketel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 557 PA | 0.68 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Max exit velocity -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 439 PA | 0.66 | Walk rateSprint speedBat speed | In-zone contact -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Pull rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 493 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 631 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityChase rateIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.9zSprint speed +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 595 PA | 0.57 | Walk rateBarrel rateWhiff rate | Max exit velocity -1.9zIn-zone contact -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Young, Jared NYM · L · 303 PA | 0.57 | Oppo rateChase rateHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA | 0.55 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateWhiff rate | Pull rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.55 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 371 PA | 0.50 | Pull rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity -2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.48 | Isolated powerWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.6zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 315 PA | 0.46 | Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.8zPull rate -1.8zWalk rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.