The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Marte, Ketel in signal, the comp in amber.

AZ · bats L · 635 PA

Ranked comps for Marte, Ketel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z
02 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.63 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z
03 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z
04 García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 581 PA 0.61 Oppo rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z
05 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.60 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Walk rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.59 Isolated powerHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.8zStrikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1z
07 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 688 PA 0.54 Walk rateSwing lengthPull rate Max exit velocity -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.4zChase rate +1.1z
08 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.54 Barrel rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.7zPull rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.3z
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.54 Sprint speedIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z
10 Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA 0.52 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateWhiff rate Pull rate -2.4zMax exit velocity -1.5zOppo rate +1.5z
11 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA 0.51 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSwing length Max exit velocity -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 478 PA 0.47 Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.