The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bell, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 650 PA

Ranked comps for Bell, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA 0.78 Chase rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +1.1zOppo rate +0.9zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 478 PA 0.75 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zSwing length -1.0zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.74 Bat speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.72 Hard-hit rateSprint speedWalk rate Swing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA 0.70 Sprint speedFly-ball rateBarrel rate Swing length -1.6zPull rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.69 Whiff rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.7zSwing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.69 Chase rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Sprint speed +1.6zBarrel rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 688 PA 0.67 Walk rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 635 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity +1.2zOppo rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA 0.67 Bat speedWalk rateIn-zone contact Swing length -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.