The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bell, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 557 PA

Ranked comps for Bell, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA 0.79 Chase rateGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate +1.1zOppo rate +0.8zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.74 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Isolated power +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA 0.74 Sprint speedWalk rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.73 Bat speedWhiff rateOppo rate Swing length -1.2zChase rate -0.9zxwOBA on contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.68 Walk rateChase rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 533 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.2zOppo rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Strikeout rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Young, Jared NYM · L · 303 PA 0.67 Chase rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Swing length -1.9zSprint speed +1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 486 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 442 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.5zWhiff rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Contreras, William MIL · R · 562 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateSprint speed Swing length -1.8zPull rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.