The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 719 PA

Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.74 Swing lengthIsolated powerPull rate Sprint speed -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.70 Bat speedChase rateSprint speed Walk rate -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.69 Isolated powerChase rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA 0.69 Bat speedStrikeout rateSwing length Walk rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.67 Barrel ratePull rateChase rate Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.67 Barrel rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.67 Walk ratePull rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.2zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.2zSwing length +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate In-zone contact -1.7zIsolated power +1.0zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA 0.64 Whiff rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.63 Barrel rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Walk rate -1.8zOppo rate -1.3zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateOppo rate Sprint speed -1.7zChase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.