The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 620 PA
Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 447 PA | 0.78 | Chase rateOppo rateSwing length | Sprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zBarrel rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerChase rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed -0.9zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 605 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerChase ratePull rate | Walk rate -1.3zBat speed +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 580 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate | In-zone contact -1.6zWalk rate -1.1zSprint speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateOppo rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateBarrel rateWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.5zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 587 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactChase rateIn-zone contact | Max exit velocity -1.4zPull rate -1.1zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 406 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedSprint speedFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.62 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 575 PA | 0.62 | Sprint speedBat speedSwing length | Walk rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA | 0.59 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Ground-ball rate -2.0zIsolated power +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.7zChase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.