Mithrandir Metrics
NYY American League East Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

New York Yankees

94.7-67.3 with P10-P90 wins 85-104. 80.4 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
94.7-67.3
Live pace
92.2
Delta
-2.5
Record 78-59 Run diff 117 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason95.0
Current pace92.2
Rolling p5093.1
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
83.3 87.9 93.1 98.2 102.8
MOVE -1.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.25
October path

Projection odds

Division68.7%
Playoffs91.7%
Pennant33.4%
World Series19.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.01
Bullpen FIP4.25
Run diff140.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CWells, Austin4960.16
1BGarcía Jr., Luis5301.02
2BChisholm Jr., Jazz5582.82
SSCaballero, José449-1.06
3BRosario, Amed346-0.64
LFBellinger, Cody6150.42
CFGrisham, Trent5394.44
RFJones, Spencer205-0.39
DHRice, Ben5117.24
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Judge, AaronHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
McMahon, RyanHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Stanton, GiancarloHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Schmidt, ClarkePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Weathers, RyanPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Cruz, FernandoPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Castro, KervinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Volpe, AnthonyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Escarra, J.c.HitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Domínguez, JassonHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Schreiber, JohnPitcherOut / inactiveNot Yet Reported
Chivilli, AngelPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors