Mithrandir Metrics
NYY American League East Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

New York Yankees

94.7-67.3 with P10-P90 wins 85-104. 80.4 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
94.7-67.3
Live pace
93.6
Delta
-1.1
Record 93-68 Run diff 138 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason95.0
Current pace93.6
Rolling p5094.0
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
84.5 89.0 94.0 98.9 103.4
MOVE -1.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.25
October path

Projection odds

Division68.7%
Playoffs91.7%
Pennant33.4%
World Series19.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.01
Bullpen FIP4.25
Run diff140.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-07.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CWells, Austin--0.16
1BGarcía Jr., Luis----
2BVolpe, Anthony---0.32
SSLombard Jr., George----
3BCaballero, José----
LFBellinger, Cody--0.42
CFGrisham, Trent--4.44
RFJones, Spencer----
DHRice, Ben--7.24
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Cruz, FernandoPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Castro, KervinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day