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PIT National League Central Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Pittsburgh Pirates

80.2-81.8 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.2-81.8
Live pace
79.9
Delta
-0.3
Record 70-72 Run diff 30 Generated 2026-09-05T11:48:43.555975+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace79.9
Rolling p5079.9
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
70.9 75.1 79.9 84.7 89.0
MOVE -0.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.40
October path

Projection odds

Division15.5%
Playoffs29.3%
Pennant2.8%
World Series1.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP4.07
Bullpen FIP4.40
Run diff-12.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-05; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-04.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDavis, Henry362-0.57
1BHorwitz, Spencer4450.58
2BLowe, Brandon5334.63
SSGriffin, Konnor201-0.33
3BGonzalez, Jacob202-0.28
LFMangum, Jake419-0.82
CFCruz, Oneil5413.84
RFReynolds, Bryan6064.40
DHGonzales, Nick454-0.39
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
O'Hearn, RyanHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Keller, MitchPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Yates, KirbyPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Eisert, BrandonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Barco, HunterPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Sisk, EvanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors