Mithrandir Metrics
PIT National League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Pittsburgh Pirates

80.2-81.8 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.2-81.8
Live pace
86.4
Delta
+6.2
Record 32-28 Run diff 31 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace86.4
Rolling p5083.2
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
72.3 77.5 83.2 88.9 94.1
MOVE +3.2 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.40
October path

Projection odds

Division15.5%
Playoffs29.3%
Pennant2.8%
World Series1.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP4.07
Bullpen FIP4.40
Run diff-12.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CBart, Joey406-0.69
1BHorwitz, Spencer4450.58
2BLowe, Brandon5334.63
SSNone202-0.37
3BGonzales, Nick454-0.39
LFReynolds, Bryan6064.40
CFCruz, Oneil5413.84
RFO'Hearn, Ryan5394.41
DHOzuna, Marcell5779.62