Mithrandir Metrics
STL National League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals

70.2-91.8 with P10-P90 wins 61-80. 81.6 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
70.2-91.8
Live pace
88.1
Delta
+17.9
Record 31-26 Run diff -10 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason70.0
Current pace88.1
Rolling p5078.8
Observed weight49%
Rolling wins
67.8 73.0 78.8 84.6 89.8
MOVE +8.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.46
October path

Projection odds

Division1.2%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.252
Rotation FIP4.60
Bullpen FIP4.46
Run diff-100.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPagés, Pedro424-1.11
1BBurleson, Alec5464.05
SSWinn, Masyn543-0.52
3BGorman, Nolan4510.88
LFNootbaar, Lars5435.01
CFScott II, Victor456-0.95
RFWalker, Jordan429-0.85
DHHerrera, Iván4624.88