Mithrandir Metrics
STL National League Central Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals

70.2-91.8 with P10-P90 wins 61-80. 81.6 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
70.2-91.8
Live pace
79.8
Delta
+9.6
Record 68-70 Run diff -15 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason70.0
Current pace79.8
Rolling p5076.8
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
67.7 72.1 76.8 81.6 86.0
MOVE +6.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.46
October path

Projection odds

Division1.2%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.252
Rotation FIP4.60
Bullpen FIP4.46
Run diff-100.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-30.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHerrera, Iván--4.88
1BBurleson, Alec--4.05
2BFermín, José---0.09
SSSaggese, Thomas---0.61
3BUrías, Ramón---0.58
LFTorres, Bryan----
CFChurch, Nathan---0.91
RFWalker, Jordan---0.85
DHGorman, Nolan--0.88
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Winn, MasynHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Pereira, EversonHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Pallante, AndrePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Player 699024HitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Svanson, MattPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors