Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-18 · saved artifact ROWS 66 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 2.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.1%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+97.09%	1+ Hitline	0.341count	97.1%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
02	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs CIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.219count	98.0%selected	1.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
03	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs MIL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.274count	98.0%selected	1.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
04	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 2.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.2%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+97.16%	1+ Hitline	0.337count	97.2%selected	1.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
05	Christopher MorelMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.214count	98.0%selected	1.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
06	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.223count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
07	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs BAL	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+89.18%	1+ Hitline	0.596count	89.2%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
08	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CIN	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+85.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.729count	85.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
09	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+88.00%	1+ Hitline	0.648count	88.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs HOU	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+84.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.743count	84.1%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
11	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.2%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
12	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs TB	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+85.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.732count	85.0%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
13	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs BAL	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+84.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.729count	84.6%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs DET	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+86.76%	1+ Hitline	0.685count	86.8%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
15	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs AZ	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+86.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.69count	86.6%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
16	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 10.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.7%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+89.69%	1+ Hitline	0.597count	89.7%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
17	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIN	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+76.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.943count	76.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
18	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CIN	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.775count	83.4%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
19	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs TB	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+82.25%	2+ Hitsline	0.791count	82.2%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
20	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.771count	83.0%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
21	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+85.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.723count	85.4%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
22	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs NYY	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+82.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.789count	82.4%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs DET	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.824count	81.5%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
24	Austin HaysCWS	CWS vs CHC	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+85.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.709count	85.9%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
25	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs AZ	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.83count	80.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
26	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs MIN	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+73.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.017count	73.1%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
27	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs DET	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
28	Gabriel MorenoAZ	AZ vs BOS	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
29	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs TOR	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.838count	80.4%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
30	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs TOR	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.937count	76.4%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
31	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.872count	79.1%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
32	Tyler O'NeillBAL	BAL vs NYY	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+85.20%	1+ Hitline	0.712count	85.2%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
33	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+83.54%	1+ Hitline	0.757count	83.5%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
34	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CIN	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+83.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.771count	83.0%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
35	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs NYY	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.885count	78.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs DET	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
37	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs DET	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.9%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+70.10%	1+ Hitline	1.087count	29.9%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
38	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs SD	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+86.25%	1+ Hitline	0.683count	86.2%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
39	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 27.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	27.8%Over prob · Palantir	21.3%no-vig	+72.17%	2+ Hitsline	1.038count	27.8%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
40	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+75.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	75.8%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
41	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+84.40%	1+ Hitline	0.734count	84.4%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
42	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs TOR	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+84.84%	1+ Hitline	0.722count	84.8%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
43	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs NYY	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	80.8%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
44	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs AZ	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.6%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+70.43%	1+ Hitline	1.08count	29.6%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
45	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs NYY	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+76.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.932count	76.7%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
46	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIN	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+73.35%	2+ Hitsline	1.011count	73.4%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
47	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs MIL	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+80.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	80.1%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
48	Geraldo PerdomoAZ	AZ vs BOS	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.953count	75.8%selected	4.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
49	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIN	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.995count	74.0%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
50	Corbin CarrollAZ	AZ vs BOS	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.984count	74.5%selected	4.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
51	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 27.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.3%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.30%	2+ Hitsline	1.035count	72.3%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
52	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs TB	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.993count	74.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
53	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs AZ	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.94count	76.3%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
54	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+80.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.842count	80.3%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
55	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs MIL	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.1%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+74.87%	1+ Hitline	0.975count	25.1%selected	4.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
56	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs TOR	P 32.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.0%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.97%	2+ Hitsline	1.136count	68.0%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
57	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+75.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.9%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
58	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIN	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+82.27%	1+ Hitline	0.791count	82.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
59	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs SD	P 25.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+75.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.969count	75.0%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
60	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+78.28%	1+ Hitline	0.892count	78.3%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
61	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs SD	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.58%	2+ Hitsline	1.053count	71.6%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
62	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.2%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.82%	1+ Hitline	1.047count	28.2%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
63	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs MIL	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.2%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+82.77%	1+ Hitline	0.778count	17.2%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
64	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs SD	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.1%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+80.85%	1+ Hitline	0.828count	19.1%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
65	Brendan DonovanSEA	SEA vs MIL	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+77.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.9count	78.0%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
66	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIN	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.0%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.00%	1+ Hitline	1.09count	30.0%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books